Loki’s Wager: How to Defeat the Devil in the Detail
A reflection on Loki’s Wager, a fallacy that reminds us of the importance of nutting out the details before shaking hands with the devil.
Posts on critical thinking covering analytical techniques, mental models, logical fallacies, cognitive biases, writing and more
A reflection on Loki’s Wager, a fallacy that reminds us of the importance of nutting out the details before shaking hands with the devil.
A reflection on Wittgenstein’s Ruler, a philosophical concept about judgements and our trust in the authorities that make them.
A collection of little-known yet hard-hitting quotes by Jocko Willink, the former Navy SEAL turned leadership instructor.
A reflection on Rapoport’s Rules. It’s the most effective way to criticise you’ve never tried (and probably for good reasons).
A reflection on the Tenth Man Rule, a form of institutionalised devil’s advocacy. How can we benefit from a professional pain in the neck?
A dive into DODAR, a decision-making tool pilots use to handle the unexpected. What can we learn from those who fly and think for a living?
A reflection on Sherlock’s Mind Palace, a mnemonic technique popularised by the BBC series Sherlock. It’s surprisingly easy to build your own.
A little experiment with AI-generated ideas that should trigger the bullshit alarm of every independently-minded person.
A reflection on propaganda techniques; methods used to manipulate perception and opinion to further an agenda. But it’s not that simple.
An exploration of the Curse of Knowledge, a phenomenon that makes us lose touch with those who lack the wisdom we acquired five minutes ago.
A breakdown of the five habits of the master thinker; practices worth cultivating proposed by a former CIA analyst.
A reflection on the infamous Dunning-Kruger Effect, a cognitive bias that leads poor performers to grossly overestimate their abilities.
A reflection on the Dead Horse Theory, a classic management enigma that can only be solved with more ancient horse wisdom.
A reflection on the powerful decision-making strategy of via negativa and what it has in common with exploding whales and inner daemons.
A reflection on five useful decision-making heuristics, mental shortcuts designed to solve problems fast and make thinking more efficient.