Dunning-Kruger Effect: How to Cringe Yourself to Success
A reflection on the infamous Dunning-Kruger Effect, a cognitive bias that leads poor performers to grossly overestimate their abilities.
Posts on critical thinking covering analytical techniques, mental models, logical fallacies, cognitive biases, writing and more
A reflection on the infamous Dunning-Kruger Effect, a cognitive bias that leads poor performers to grossly overestimate their abilities.
A reflection on the powerful decision-making strategy of via negativa and what it has in common with exploding whales and inner daemons.
A reflection on five useful decision-making heuristics, mental shortcuts designed to solve problems fast and make thinking more efficient.
A reflection on the peculiar phenomenon of Cargo Cults, a belief that things of value can be obtained through mere mimicry.
An exploration of the power of good questions and five ways to ask them. From Story-eliciting Questions to the Columbo Method.
A reflection on Cobra Effects and how fateful interventions and perverse incentives can lead to unintended negative consequences.
Explore a selection of my reading list with insightful books on critical thinking, decision-making, philosophy, storytelling and more.
An exploration of the Law of Unintended Consequences, an adage about undesirable or unexpected side-effects of our life’s decisions.
A deep dive into Premortem Analysis, a technique designed to foresee spectacular failures before they happen.
A collection of fascinating books on intelligence analysis, a field with a surprisingly rich literature about critical thinking.
A reflection on Atwood’s Duck, a cunning manoeuvre to keep a manager from making unnecessary changes to a project. But it’s not without risk.